2018 MLB Draft Target: Trevor Larnach, OF

Back when I was first starting to evaluate my targets for the Royals in this draft, a name I had my eye on for picks 33, 34, and 40 was Oregon State outfielder Trevor Larnach. But as I write this draft profile, Larnach’s stock is on the status of soaring days prior to the draft. It has become a very real possibility that he won’t even be available for selection at 18.

One of the better college hitters available in this draft, Trevor Larnach has turned in a monster junior campaign, slashing .324/.447/.637. A California native, he was drafted out of high school by the San Diego Padres in the 40th round of the 2015 draft. He ended up heading north though to go play for Pat Casey and the great baseball program at Oregon State.

Larnach saw limited time as a freshman, struggling mightily with a .157/.271/.176 slashline. He busted onto the scene his sophomore season though, showing an improved approach at the plate with more consistent contact.

He fully grew into his power potential this past season, bumping his career home run total from three to 20. This all came after a tremendous season in the Cape Cod League, in which he busted out 11 extra-base hits in 27 games.

Larnach shows that rare ability to have an above-average hit tool and above-average power, suggesting perhaps a smoother transition than most prospects. The sound of the bat off the ball is beautiful from the left side


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GIF Courtesy of Fangraphs

He didn’t even get all of this one, but it was still hit a mile out to centerfield.

There’s little movement on the lower-half other than a quick half-step, as he uses his upper-body strength to drive the ball with a nice, simple, compact swing.

The biggest concern for Larnach might come on the other side. While his tools scream at the plate, he possesses below-average speed that has kept him in the corner outfield spots his whole career. The routes he takes sometimes in the outfield aren’t pretty either. He does salvage some of his poor defensive abilities with an above-average arm though. 100% a corner outfield profile here.

There is definitely skepticism to be had with Larnach as a prospect, mainly due to the defensive issues I just mentioned and the fact that he’s been a late-bloomer. This makes a scenario where falls to the Royals at 18 very conceivable, but still unlikely. All things considered, I would be pretty satisfied if he did find his way to the Royals, as he would instantly become one of the more polished hitting prospects in the organization.

Photo Credits: Sean Meagher—OregonLive

One thought on “2018 MLB Draft Target: Trevor Larnach, OF

  1. Pingback: 2018 MLB Draft Profile Index | Royals Farm Report

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